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Odds are it’s Streep’s year again

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Katharine Hepburn managed to pull it off, with a record holding four Best Actress wins over a 49 year span, the most of any acting nominee to date, but Meryl Streep is closing in.

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Who’s got the edge in a Streep Winslet showdown?

It’s a tough call, because even after you look at the Academy stats in the hope of confirming the suspicion that your chances of winning get better with each new nomination, breaking down the data leaves no firm answers as to who has the advantage in a contest pitting first timers against multiple winners.

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If we’re to compare Hepburn’s long list of Oscar encounters to Streep’s, one could make a good case for a Meryl win in 2009.

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Well, guess what? Meryl Streep turns 60 this June, and just like Hepburn, a lot of her best work has been glossed over since her last win in 1982.

Not counting this year’s nod, Streep has been an also ran 10 times over losing out to fellow canada goose outlet kokemuksia veteran and three time nominee Helen Mirren (The Queen) in 2006, first timer Catherine Zeta Jones (Chicago) canada goose outlet houston in 2003, first timer Hilary Swank (Boys Don’t Cry) in 1999, first timer Gwyneth Paltrow (Shakespeare in Love) in 1998, five time nominee Susan Sarandon (Dead Man Walking) in 1995, first time nominee Kathy Bates (Misery) in 1990, then one time nominee and former kid star Jodie Foster (The Accused) in 1989, two time nominee Cher (Moonstruck) in 1987, eight time nominee and sexagenarian Geraldine Page (Trip to Bountiful) in 1985, and six time nominee at the age of 50 Shirley MacLaine (Terms of Endearment) in 1983.

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Classic examples of Academy sympathy votes are: Marie Dressler, who won at the age of 62 for Min and Bill after a long career on stage and screen, Elizabeth Taylor’s win for Butterfield 8 was seen as a get well gesture after the actress nearly died of pneumonia, and even Hepburn said she probably wouldn’t have won the prize for best actress for Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner if her co star, and longtime partner, Spencer Tracy had not died just months prior to the broadcast.

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Indeed, competing for Oscar glory in a talented field is the fastest way to heartbreak, so Winslet should take this sixth nomination in stride because despite some very impressive work in two dramatic pictures, she’s not a lock to win at all. Her chances for a win were actually far better at the launch of her career, because the Academy has a thing for hot young ingenues who offer up a head turning performance, but they get wary of a woman canada goose outlet online who’s been around the red carpet a little too long until she turns 60, that is.

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When races like this get too close to call, it’s best to look outside the box: Anne Hathaway, this is your year!

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